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Himachal Pradesh votes on November 12: BJP eyes historical past, Congress seeks comeback, AAP needs to make a distinction | Himachal-Pradesh Election Information – Occasions of India

NEW DELHI: After weeks of high-decibel campaigning by the ruling BJP and opposition Congress, it’s now over to the voters in Himachal Pradesh.
On Saturday, over 55 lakh voters within the hill state will determine the destiny of 412 candidates, together with chief minister Jairam Thakur, former CM Virbhadhra Singh’s son Vikramaditya Singh and former BJP chief Satpal Singh Satti, within the elections for the 68-member state meeting.

The ruling BJP is hoping to repeat its feat of 2017 and buck the overall development of the state ruling out the incumbents. The state has a four-decade historical past of voting out the ruling celebration. Nevertheless, the Congress is urging voters to stay to custom and vote for a change.
On ballot eve, each BJP and Congress claimed they had been headed in the direction of a majority and would kind the federal government.
In the meantime, not like earlier elections, the entry of AAP has considerably queered the pitch for each the events. Although it stays to be seen whether or not AAP’s debut seems to be a non-starter or finally ends up hurting the ballot prospects of BJP or Congress.

Status vs survival
For BJP and Congress, the outcomes of the Himachal Pradesh could have vastly completely different implications.
The BJP, which has already retained all of the 4 states that went to polls earlier this 12 months, a victory in Himachal would solely consolidate its place as a dominant political pressure.
One other victory in Himachal would come as a feather within the cap of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who has coined the slogan of “pro-incumbency” in context of the celebration.
Earlier, BJP chief JP Nadda advised information company PTI that the celebration had emerged as a trend-setting pressure with folks selecting to re-elect its incumbent governments and preferring it over different events, the place the BJP will not be in energy.
Plus, it will enhance the BJP’s possibilities within the 9 state elections due subsequent 12 months, together with the all-important Hindi heartland states of Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, and later within the 2024 normal election.

In the meantime, for the Congress, which has been on a downhill electorally for the reason that previous two election cycles, wresting Himachal Pradesh from the BJP is a matter of survival.
The stakes are even larger for the grand outdated celebration which has put in Mallikarjun Kharge, its first non-Gandhi Congress president in 24 years, with former chief Rahul Gandhi giving the marketing campaign circuit an entire miss.
The Congress has misplaced in 9 states over two years together with West Bengal, Kerala, Assam, Puducherry in 2021 and Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur this 12 months.
Currenlty, it’s in energy by itself in simply Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan.
Will AAP play spoilsport?
The Aam Aadmi Occasion will fancy itself as a 3rd political pressure within the state on the again of its emphatic victory in Punjab and respectable features in Goa.
Additionally it is contesting elections in Gujarat, which shall be held on December 1 and 5.
Nevertheless, not like Gujarat the place AAP has been actively campaigning for weeks, the Arvind Kejriwal-led celebration ran a slightly muted marketing campaign in Himachal Pradesh.
Due to this fact, heading into the polls, the competition is extra a direct one between the BJP and the Congress consistent with previous developments.
Nevertheless, since AAP is contesting all 68 seats, will probably be hoping to dent the ballot prospects of each BJP and Congress.
Punjab minister Harjot Singh Bains, who’s AAP’s Himachal Pradesh in cost, expressed confidence that his celebration will make a distinction within the state.
Campaigning: Charged-up BJP vs ‘spirited’ Congress
Although some opinions polls predicted that Congress may give BJP a troublesome combat within the state, the grand outdated celebration ran a slightly toned down marketing campaign within the run as much as the polls.
The opposition Congress principally banked on normal secretary Priyanka Gandhi Vadra for its campaigning. Former Congress chief Rahul Gandhi stayed away from the hustings on account of his multi-state Bharat Jodo Yatra.
Senior Congress chief Anand Sharma famous that his celebration’s marketing campaign planning for the Himachal may have been “a lot better” with the deployment of senior leaders, and rued that his companies weren’t totally utilised. Nevertheless, he stated that Priyanka led a spirited marketing campaign within the state.

Sharma was among the many outstanding members of the group of 23 leaders, who wrote to Sonia Gandhi in 2020 looking for large-scale reforms. He had resigned from the chairmanship of the celebration’s steering committee for Himachal, reportedly saying he was not consulted on the planning for the meeting elections.
Alternatively, Prime Minister Narendra Modi led the BJP’s marketing campaign from the entrance, wrapping up his canvassing with a private attraction to voters of the state, the place he stated each vote forged for the BJP image “lotus” will improve his power.
BJP president J P Nadda, house minister Amit Shah and Uttar Pradesh chief minister Yogi Adityanath additionally held a collection of ballot conferences other than public outreach for the saffron celebration.
Ballot guarantees
The BJP has consciously labored to woo the numerous girls voters of the state who’ve been outnumbering their male counterparts in all elections since 1998.
The celebration has additionally launched a standalone manifesto for ladies in an try and woo them, promising 33 per cent reservation in authorities jobs, new academic establishments and sops for varied segments.
It has additionally promised eight lakh jobs to the folks of the state.
Individually, Union house minister Amit Shah has promised the implementation of Uniform Civil Code it the celebration involves energy.
In the meantime, the Congress has promised the restoration of the outdated pension scheme, 300 items of free energy and a Rs 680-crore StartUp fund.
Congress is hoping that its promise to carry again the outdated pension scheme, which the BJP authorities abolished, can be a game-changer within the November 12 elections. A number of Congress leaders, together with Priyanka, sought to nook BJP over the difficulty and voiced assist for the scheme.

Himachal Elections (1)

Star candidates and schedule
Chief minister Jairam Thakur is contesting from Seraj in Mandi whereas former BJP chief Satti is making an attempt his luck from Una.
City improvement minister Suresh Bhardwaj is contesting from Kasumpti, Congress CLP chief Mukesh Agnihotri from Haroli, ex chief minister Virbhadra Singh‘s son Vikramaditya Singh from Shimla Rural, former HPCC chief and Marketing campaign Committee chief Sukhwinder Singh Sukhu from Nadaun and Congress Manifesto Committee chief Dhani Ram Shandil in Solan.
The voting is scheduled from 8am to 5pm.
The Election Fee has arrange a complete of seven,884 polling stations together with three auxiliary polling stations in faraway areas. Of those, there are 789 susceptible cubicles and 397 crucial ones.
The EC has additionally arrange its highest sales space in Tashigang in Kaza in Spiti space of Lahaul Spiti district of the state at a peak of 15,256 toes and would cater to 52 voters.

SWOT evaluation
BJP banking on Modi

  • Strengths: Prime Minister Narendra Modi, initially. Himachal Pradesh has a historical past of not returning the incumbent to workplace and BJP’s hope of reversing that development rests on Modi to an awesome extent. The celebration also can depend on its organisation equipment to ship whereas the disarray within the Congress shall be to its benefit.
  • Weaknesses: Over-reliance on Modi may backfire and anti-incumbency is an actual risk. In a web based survey by a Shimla-based analysis group, 72.6% respondents stated the BJP will face anti-incumbency. Former CMs Prem Kumar Dhumal and Shanta Kumar are additionally not as energetic as they was once owing to advancing age.
  • Alternatives: Chief minister Jai Ram Thakur’s clear picture will present BJP a reputable face to go to the polls with. AAP’s entry will imply three-way contests in a number of seats and the celebration may eat into Congress votes, to the BJP’s benefit.
  • Threats: The largest risk is Himachal Pradesh doing what it at all times does — voting out the incumbent. Additionally, the Congress has accused the BJP of bringing the state to monetary wreck and if it finds resonance with folks, then the battle could possibly be robust.

Congress in disarray

  • Strengths: Tough to discern at this second however the state stays one of many few the place the celebration nonetheless has a construction and real assist. The state unit is led by Pratibha Singh, the widow of six-time CM Virbhadra Singh, who may rally the celebration round now that the ballot dates have been introduced.
  • Weaknesses: The final drift within the Congress nationally has not left the state unit untouched. An absence of power was palpable whereas senior chief Anand Sharma’s position is up within the air. How the second rung state management rises to the problem shall be key.
  • Alternatives: After the near-miss in Uttarakhand which it was broadly anticipated to win, Himachal presents a golden alternative to the Congress to wrest a state from the BJP. AAP’s entry however, it primarily stays a two-horse race and Congress will take coronary heart from the state’s voting custom. Additionally, it has the wind in its sails after its by-election victories within the Mandi parliamentary seat together with the meeting seats of Arki, Jubbal-Kotkhai and Fatehpur final 12 months.
  • Threats: AAP is the unknown amount which may derail the Congress’s plans. If the beginner takes away a piece of its votes, prefer it has achieved in different states, the celebration may flounder. The BJP could be anticipated to throw every thing into the marketing campaign and won’t surrender simply. Any rancour over ticket distribution may be deadly.

(With inputs from PTI)

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